Not Even Wrong: On the Limits of Prediction as Explanation in Cognitive Science

Mark Orr, Drew Cranford, Ken Ford, Kevin Gluck, Will Hancock, Christian Lebiere, Pete Pirolli, Frank Ritter, Andrea Stocco

Published: 2025/9/30

Abstract

We offer a comment on the Centaur (Binz et al., 2025) transformer-based model of human behavior. In particular, Centaur was cast as a path towards unified theories of cognition. We offer a counter claim with supporting argument: Centaur is a path divergent from unified theories of cognition, one that moves towards a unified model of behavior sans cognition.

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